Barletta vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
USC
2 - 2
SSB
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
3 - 2
SIR
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PER
0 - 2
SSB
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SSB
1 - 1
POR
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
SSB
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
FCS
59%
24%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 1
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
BV5
65%
22%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
SPE
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SPE
6 - 0
USF
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |