Barletta vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 0
SSB
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
SSB
1 - 1
PAD
49%
30%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
COS
1 - 1
SSB
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
SSB
4 - 0
MES
38%
29%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
SSB
2 - 1
REG
41%
32%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
ANC
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
ANC
3 - 3
COS
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
USF
2 - 0
ANC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
ANC
0 - 1
AVE
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
ASC
1 - 1
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |