Sriwijaya vs PSMS Medan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sriwijaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BSU
2 - 0
SRI
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SRI
3 - 2
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PSM
2 - 0
SRI
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SRI
3 - 3
PER
49%
23%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SRI
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PSMS Medan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
MED
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
MED
3 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
MED
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
MED
2 - 3
PSI
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PER
0 - 0
MED
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -6 |