Sriwijaya vs Persebaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sriwijaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
SRI
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SRI
1 - 2
MAD
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
SRI
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SRI
1 - 0
PUS
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
PSB
0 - 4
SRI
7%
15%
78%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
PER
0 - 2
PST
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PSB
0 - 14
PER
6%
13%
81%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 2
PER
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
PER
39%
27%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |