Sriwijaya vs Madura United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sriwijaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
SRI
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SRI
1 - 0
PUS
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
PSB
0 - 4
SRI
7%
15%
78%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SRI
0 - 3
ARE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
MIT
3 - 0
SRI
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madura United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 1
PST
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAD
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
MAD
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 0
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PSI
0 - 0
MAD
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |