Sriwijaya vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sriwijaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 1
SRI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
SRI
55%
22%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
SRI
0 - 1
ARE
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -6 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PER
0 - 8
SRI
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SRI
1 - 4
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ARE
5 - 0
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
ARE
4 - 1
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
SRI
0 - 1
ARE
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -3 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
ARE
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARE
1 - 0
PER
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |