SRC Hiroshima vs Kagura Shimane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
75.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SRC Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
NAG
6 - 0
SRC
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SRC
1 - 0
MMM
8%
14%
77%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | +7 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SRC
0 - 4
EHI
11%
20%
68%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Kagura Shimane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
SAG
3 - 0
MCF
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
KTF
0 - 4
MCF
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MCF
1 - 4
FAG
10%
17%
74%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MCF
0 - 3
TUJ
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |