Lithuanian Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-12
Kauno Žalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
66.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
KRU
0 - 3
KZA
38%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KZA
1 - 1
ATL
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ZAL
5 - 0
KZA
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KZA
2 - 4
ZAL
14%
22%
64%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
STU
1 - 0
KZA
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
ZAL
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
ZAL
4 - 0
STU
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ZAL
5 - 0
KZA
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KZA
2 - 4
ZAL
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 4
ZAL
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |