Kauno Žalgiris vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
10º
3º
39
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 0
DAI
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
3 - 0
DTE
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
PAN
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
ZAL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
KZA
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
HLI
21%
27%
53%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 0
SUD
28%
26%
45%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
SUD
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAI
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DTE
1 - 0
SUD
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |