Kauno Žalgiris vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
21
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 77 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 64 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 57 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 49 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 46 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 45 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
80.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 5
KZA
5%
11%
84%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
KZA
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
KZA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 3
BAN
71%
20%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
SUD
62%
22%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
FAS
10%
17%
73%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
HLI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 0
DAI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |