Kauno Žalgiris vs Siauliai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
10º
3º
42
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 5
KZA
5%
11%
84%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
KZA
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
KZA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 3
BAN
71%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
SUD
62%
22%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
FAS
10%
17%
73%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
HLI
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 1
FAS
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FAS
0 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 0
DAI
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |