Kauno Žalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
10º
3º
42
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
PAN
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
ZAL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
KZA
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FKT
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 2
HLI
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 0
HLI
17%
24%
59%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 2
DTE
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DTE
1 - 0
SUD
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
DTE
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
DTE
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |