Kauno Žalgiris vs Dainava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
10º
3º
45
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
3 - 0
DTE
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
PAN
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
0 - 1
ZAL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
KZA
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FKT
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HLI
0 - 1
DAI
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DAI
2 - 2
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
DAI
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
DAI
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
DTE
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |