Kauno Žalgiris vs Dainava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
5º
31
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
KZA
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
FKD
0 - 6
KZA
4%
10%
87%
|
73 | 11 | 62 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 1
PAN
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
KZA
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
SUD
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
DAI
5 - 0
TRA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
DAI
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 1
DAI
26%
26%
49%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DAI
2 - 2
DTE
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 0
HLI
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |