SpVgg Vreden vs Sprockhövel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
15º
11º
33
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
SVR
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SVR
4 - 1
ENN
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
4 - 0
SVR
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SVR
4 - 0
ERH
24%
19%
56%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WER
0 - 0
SVR
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sprockhövel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
3 - 2
ERN
51%
20%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TVC
3 - 2
SPR
51%
21%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
4 - 2
DSC
50%
20%
30%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TUS
3 - 0
SPR
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 0
SPR
76%
15%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |