SpVgg Vreden vs ASC 09 Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
54.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
6º
17º
9º
67
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TUS
3 - 2
SVR
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 1
SVR
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SVR
0 - 0
GIE
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TDO
4 - 0
SVR
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SVR
2 - 1
ERH
54%
20%
27%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ASC 09 Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GIE
0 - 1
ASC
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 1
TDO
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ERH
0 - 2
ASC
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 1
TVC
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WER
0 - 2
ASC
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |