SpVgg Ludwigsburg vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SVS
0 - 0
LUD
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
LUD
2 - 4
ULM
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -3 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
LUD
2 - 0
FVL
50%
25%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LUD
4 - 3
WEI
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 0
LUD
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
0 - 0
KSC
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUG
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -3 |
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
NOR
2 - 0
KÖL
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 64 | 44 | +1 |