SpVgg Ludwigsburg vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LUD
0 - 2
FRE
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
KSC
4 - 0
LUD
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LUD
0 - 3
NOR
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SVS
0 - 0
LUD
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
LUD
2 - 4
ULM
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -3 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
HEI
1 - 0
FRE
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HEI
3 - 3
KSC
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NOR
5 - 2
HEI
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
HEI
4 - 3
SVS
73%
16%
10%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
HOF
2 - 3
HEI
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |