SpVgg Ludwigsburg vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
STU
0 - 0
LUD
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CRA
5 - 1
LUD
60%
20%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
LUD
3 - 5
WAL
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
LUD
51%
24%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LUD
4 - 1
BON
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
LIN
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 3
FRE
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 1
HOF
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |