SpVgg Ludwigsburg vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LUD
2 - 1
KSC
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
LUD
3 - 1
WMI
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BON
2 - 2
LUD
27%
25%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
LUD
1 - 3
SVS
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FRE
5 - 1
LUD
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
STU
1 - 1
FRE
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
FRE
2 - 1
WMI
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
VIL
1 - 1
FRE
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
FRE
2 - 1
KSC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2002 |
SVS
2 - 2
FRE
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |