DFB Pokal 1/64
Global 3-5
SpVgg Ludwigsburg vs 1. FC Mülheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Ludwigsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
MUN
1 - 1
LUD
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
LUD
2 - 2
FCN
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
WAL
1 - 0
LUD
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
LUD
2 - 4
SGF
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
SSV
3 - 1
LUD
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
STP
3 - 1
FCM
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
FCM
1 - 0
DJK
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1974 |
WAT
3 - 2
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
FCM
3 - 1
ERK
66%
18%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
WOL
1 - 0
FCM
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |