Ingelheim vs Mechtersheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PIR
3 - 1
ING
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ING
2 - 2
IDA
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
HBI
4 - 0
ING
35%
27%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ING
1 - 1
HAU
31%
26%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
WWO
0 - 0
ING
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mechtersheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MEC
0 - 1
BNE
19%
23%
59%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
MEC
2 - 1
MAY
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
MEC
3 - 3
PIR
15%
21%
64%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |