Ingelheim vs Köllerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
IDA
2 - 0
ING
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
ING
2 - 2
BNE
37%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TUS
3 - 0
ING
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
HAU
3 - 1
ING
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
ING
1 - 3
WWO
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Köllerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
KOL
0 - 3
MAY
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
KOL
2 - 0
IDA
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +3 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
BNE
2 - 1
KOL
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
TUS
4 - 0
KOL
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
KOL
0 - 1
HAU
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |