Ingelheim vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAA
2 - 2
ING
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
ING
3 - 1
SAL
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
HAL
0 - 2
ING
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
ING
1 - 1
IDA
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
WWO
1 - 4
ING
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
HOM
2 - 0
EBK
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
WIR
0 - 2
HOM
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
HOM
0 - 0
HAM
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
SAA
0 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
HOM
0 - 0
SAL
39%
26%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |