SpVgg Frechen vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
16º
8º
25
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 2
SPF
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
H05
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
SPF
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
SPV
61%
18%
21%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
SPF
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 1
VFL
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 3
WEG
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
WEG
0 - 2
BSC
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FVE
2 - 6
WEG
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 0
SIE
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |