SpVgg Frechen vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
4º
31
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 0
SPF
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
KON
54%
20%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 1
SPF
57%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
H05
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 1
BER
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 4
SIE
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
VFL
4 - 0
SPV
87%
9%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
SCF
15%
17%
69%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 1
FVE
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |