SpVgg Frechen vs FV Endenich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
4º
23
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SPF
0 - 3
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 0
SPF
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 1
VFL
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 0
SPF
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 2
KFC
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FV Endenich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 1
KON
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
FVE
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FVE
1 - 0
SVE
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +4 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FVE
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 2
H05
9%
14%
78%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |