SpVgg Erlangen vs Baiersdorfer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baiersdorfer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
BAI
3 - 1
NEU
35%
23%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASV
3 - 2
BAI
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TSB
2 - 2
BAI
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
ASP
1 - 5
BAI
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
BAI
0 - 0
QUF
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |