SpVgg Au vs VfR Heilbronn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
LUD
1 - 3
AJL
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
AJL
3 - 4
BAH
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
KSC
1 - 4
AJL
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
WEI
3 - 0
AJL
33%
26%
40%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
AJL
1 - 1
FVL
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Heilbronn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
HEI
4 - 1
WEI
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
FVL
0 - 1
HEI
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
HEI
0 - 2
PFU
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
SDO
1 - 0
HEI
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
HEI
1 - 1
STU
57%
21%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |