SpVgg Au vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
4 - 1
AJL
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LUD
3 - 2
AJL
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AJL
2 - 4
WEI
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 1
AJL
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
AJL
2 - 1
LIN
46%
25%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
2 - 4
SVS
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 2
NOT
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
CRA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
WAL
0 - 2
NOT
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 0
FRE
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |