SpVgg Au vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
BON
5 - 3
AJL
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
AJL
5 - 2
STU
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
REU
0 - 1
AJL
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
AJL
2 - 3
NOT
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
4 - 1
AJL
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
FRE
2 - 2
SVS
48%
26%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRE
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
CRA
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
WAL
0 - 0
FRE
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 2
FRE
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |