SpVgg Au vs Freiburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FCT
1 - 5
AJL
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
AJL
1 - 1
PFO
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LUD
1 - 1
AJL
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
STU
1 - 0
AJL
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
AJL
2 - 0
WMI
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FRE
1 - 0
STU
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
WMI
0 - 0
FRE
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
FRE
2 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
KSC
1 - 2
FRE
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
FRE
4 - 0
SVS
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |