SpVgg Au vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Au
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
AJL
3 - 0
BON
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 0
AJL
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
AJL
1 - 1
FCT
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PFO
1 - 5
AJL
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
AJL
1 - 1
LUD
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 0
FRE
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
LUD
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
NOT
3 - 0
FRE
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ULM
4 - 2
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 2
STU
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |