SpVg Porz 1919 vs Union Schafhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
10º
16º
13º
12
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MER
6 - 3
SPV
60%
18%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
SPV
61%
18%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
VFL
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 1
BSC
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
SPF
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 4
USC
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
USC
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
5 - 0
USC
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
USC
0 - 0
FVE
40%
22%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |