SpVg Porz 1919 vs Germania Teveren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
12º
18
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KON
4 - 1
SPV
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
3 - 2
SVE
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +5 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
H05
4 - 1
SPV
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 3
BSC
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 2
SPV
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GET
0 - 2
HUR
42%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GET
3 - 3
FVE
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KON
3 - 0
GET
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GET
0 - 4
SVE
17%
18%
65%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
H05
1 - 2
GET
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |