SpVg Porz 1919 vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
14º
16º
15º
10
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 66 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 54 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 29 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 28 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
46% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 2
SPV
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FVE
4 - 3
SPV
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
SIE
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 1
SPV
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
VFL
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
0 - 3
BSC
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 0
KON
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
5 - 2
BSC
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 1
MSV
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |