SpVg Eidertal vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
65.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
14º
12º
35
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVg Eidertal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 0
SVE
80%
11%
8%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 3
SVE
72%
14%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 2
SVE
50%
20%
30%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
SVE
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
ECK
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
ECK
65%
18%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
4 - 2
UNI
14%
17%
70%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -3 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 3
PRR
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
1 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 0
DOR
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |