Sprockhövel vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
13º
18º
16º
64
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sprockhövel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ENN
1 - 1
SPR
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SPR
0 - 5
SPO
31%
21%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ERH
1 - 0
SPR
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 1
WER
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GIE
0 - 1
SPR
29%
21%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
ENN
79%
14%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
PAD
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
ERH
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
WIE
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GIE
2 - 3
PAD
10%
15%
76%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |