Spratzern vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SPR
1 - 2
KOT
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
KRE
3 - 2
SPR
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 1
GAF
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 3
SPR
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SPR
0 - 3
LEO
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 3
KRE
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
3 - 2
WUR
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 5
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 2
WUR
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WUR
3 - 1
LAN
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |