Spratzern vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
67.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
EBR
2 - 2
SPR
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SPR
1 - 1
MAN
23%
22%
56%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
3 - 0
SPR
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
STP
4 - 0
SPR
59%
21%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SPR
1 - 5
STP
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
WUR
2 - 1
LAN
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STP
1 - 1
WUR
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
WUR
1 - 4
SLA
15%
21%
65%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | -3 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
WUR
4 - 2
MAN
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
WUR
4 - 3
LEO
54%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |