Spratzern vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
STP
2 - 1
SPR
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPR
2 - 0
GOT
67%
19%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 2
SPR
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SPR
1 - 2
ZWE
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
4 - 0
SPR
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STP
0 - 0
GAF
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 3
STP
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
STP
3 - 3
WUR
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
5 - 0
STP
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STP
2 - 4
KOT
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |