Spratzern vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPR
0 - 0
ROH
33%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
SPR
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GAF
3 - 0
SPR
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SPR
2 - 1
WAI
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
SPR
2 - 4
SCH
17%
19%
63%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 1
ARD
22%
20%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
KOT
2 - 0
SCO
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 3
GAF
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WAI
3 - 2
SCO
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SCO
2 - 1
LAN
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |