Spratzern vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
GOT
0 - 3
SPR
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
SPR
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
ZWE
3 - 0
SPR
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SPR
0 - 1
LAN
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SPR
3 - 2
KOT
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
MIS
3 - 1
SCH
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 2
GAF
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 0
MIS
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
MIS
54%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 4
WUR
20%
22%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |