Spratzern vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ZWE
2 - 0
SPR
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPR
0 - 0
ROH
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SVS
1 - 3
SPR
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SPR
4 - 1
STP
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WUR
2 - 2
SPR
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
ARD
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
WAI
3 - 1
GAF
61%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 3
SVH
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
KOT
2 - 0
GAF
78%
15%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 3
SCR
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |