St. Martin vs Hogo Wels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 3
SSM
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 3
UNP
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
SSM
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 3
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 1
WEL
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hogo Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
GMU
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DON
3 - 0
HER
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -3 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
OED
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 2
HER
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |