Union Mauer vs Mauerwerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
13º
13º
13
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mauer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KLA
0 - 14
SPO
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LAC
2 - 5
SPO
13%
16%
71%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FAC
4 - 0
SPO
77%
17%
7%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
SPO
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
WIE
0 - 3
SPO
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mauerwerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 2
MAU
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 1
ELE
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAU
1 - 0
WIE
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
RAP
4 - 0
MAU
80%
15%
6%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MAU
2 - 1
LEO
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |