Union Mauer vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
13º
13º
12
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 60 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 47 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 46 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mauer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 0
SPO
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WIE
5 - 2
SPO
50%
22%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
SVG
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCW
1 - 0
SPO
52%
21%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
FCM
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
ELE
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
SVH
19%
20%
62%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 1
MAN
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
KRE
60%
20%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
FAV
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |