Ostermiething vs Hogo Wels II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
7º
10
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
WEA
1 - 1
OST
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
PWD
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UNP
0 - 0
OST
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
OST
1 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UMA
1 - 2
OST
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 2
STM
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SBL
6 - 0
WEL
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 2
SVF
40%
21%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 0
WEL
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 2
SPG
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |