Ostermiething vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
7º
41
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
GRU
2 - 2
OST
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
OST
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OST
6 - 2
SBL
68%
16%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 4
OST
34%
21%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
OST
3 - 1
BAD
44%
21%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 3
STM
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SBL
2 - 3
SVZ
44%
21%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVZ
3 - 0
SVF
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 0
SVZ
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SVZ
3 - 1
SPG
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |