Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
11º
10º
33
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
2 - 3
TAC
53%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
SPT
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
SPT
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SPT
3 - 2
LQE
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 5
NAC
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 17 | 61 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 1
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |