Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
CCP
14%
23%
63%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 1
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
RPA
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |